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Neil Howe, Managing Director of Demography, Hedgeye Danger Administration and creator of “The Fourth Turning” collection of books, discusses the rising probabilities of a “nullification disaster”, and the situations during which this might result in a civil warfare.
Watch my final interview with Neil: https://youtu.be/Vjn2d3dyvUk?si=Vf9RoqCBQxMT5BLm
*This video was recorded on September 12, 2024
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0:00 – Intro
1:40 – Is the “Fourth Turning” right here?
6:10 – Neil’s prior predictions that turned true
7:30 – Nullification disaster
17:30 – Path for succession of states
23:30 – Obstacles to civil warfare
31:20 – Street to world warfare
34:05 – Common sentiment in opposition to wars
35:40 – World warfare or civil warfare extra probably?
44:52 – Is NATO nonetheless vital?
49:00 – Funding implications for Fourth Turning
52:30 – Inflation hedges
56:10 – Financial system beneath rise of millennials
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